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14 July 2017

Download consensus estimates for full years 2017 - 2019 and Q2 2017 (PDF 118KB)Download consensus estimates for full years 2017 - 2019 and Q2 2017

Barclays PLC

The following Q2 2017 estimates contribute to the FY 2017 Group, Core and Non-Core consensus.
Certain material items included in analysts' forecasts, notably significant litigation and conduct and UK customer redress, impairment of Barclays' holding in Barclays Africa Group Limited (BAGL) and loss on the sale of a portion of Barclays' holding in BAGL, are excluded from the consensus. 
GBPm unless otherwise stated.

Barclays Group Q2 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 5,281
Impairment charges (571)
Net operating income 4,710
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(3,446)
Litigation and conduct (40)
Total operating expenses (3,472)
Other net income/(expense) 30
Profit before tax 1,267
Tax charge (411)
Profit after tax in respect of continuing operations 855
Non-controlling and other equity interests in respect of continuing operations (200)
Attributable profit in respect of continuing operations 673
Attributable profit in respect of discontinued operations 67
Total Group attributable profit 727
Group Basic earnings per share in respect of continuing operations (p) 4.0
Group Basic earnings per share (p) 4.3
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio (%) 12.8
Barclays Core Q2 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 5,553
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (551)
Net operating income 5,002
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(3,318)
Litigation and conduct (33)
Total operating expenses (3,340)
Other net income/(expense) (77)
Profit before tax 1,585
Barclays Non-Core Q2 2017
Total income net of insurance claims (272)
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (20)
Net operating income (293)
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(128)
Litigation and conduct (5)
Total operating expenses (133)
Other net income/(expense) 107
Loss before tax (318)

 

Barclays UK  Q2 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 1,813
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (198)
Net operating income 1,614
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(944)
Litigation and conduct (16)
Total operating expenses (959)
Profit before tax 656
Barclays International  Q2 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 3,746
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (353)
Net operating income 3,393
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(2,325)
Litigation and conduct (6)
Total operating expenses (2,331)
Profit before tax 1,070
Head Office Q2 2017
Total income net of insurance claims (6)
Credit impairment charges and other provisions 0
Net operating income (9)
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(49)
Litigation and conduct (1)
Total operating expenses (50)
Loss before tax (140)

Note: Consensus figures in the table above are line by line averages based on forecasts received. They may not sum exactly as not all forecasts received contain an estimate for each account line (e.g. other net income). 

The above Q2 2017 estimates are based on the forecasts of 15 analysts.

The forecasts are produced by the contributing analysts and do not represent nor are based on Barclays’ opinions, estimates or forecasts. By presenting the consensus information above, Barclays does not endorse or concur with such analyst information, conclusions or recommendations. Barclays has not verified any of the information received and none of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, or accept any responsibility for, the accuracy or completeness of the consensus information. Barclays does not assume any responsibility to update, revise or supplement such information.

This consensus summary is being provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to, nor does it, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. None of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees shall accept any liability whatsoever for the consequences of any reliance upon or actions taken based on any of the information in this consensus summary.

Barclays PLC

GBPm unless otherwise stated.
Certain material items included in analysts' forecasts, notably significant litigation and conduct and UK customer redress, impairment of Barclays' holding in Barclays Africa Group Limited (BAGL) and loss on the sale of a portion of Barclays' holding in BAGL, are excluded from the consensus.

Barclays Group FY 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 21,864
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (2,323)
Net operating income 19,541
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(13,690)
UK bank levy (362)
Litigation and conduct (105)
Total operating expenses (14,119)
Other net income/(expense) 103
Profit before tax 5,526
Tax charge (1,656)
Profit after tax in respect of continuing operations 3,869
Non-controlling and other equity interests in respect of continuing operations (772)
Attributable profit in respect of continuing operations 3,129
Attributable profit in respect of discontinued operations 114
Total attributable profit 3,243
Group Basic earnings per share in respect of continuing operations (p) 18.4
Group Basic earnings per share (p) 19.0
Dividends per share (p) 3.1
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio (%) 12.9
Barclays Core FY 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 22,358
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (2,278)
Net operating income 20,080
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(13,255)
UK bank levy (320)
Litigation and conduct (79)
Total operating expenses (13,622)
Other net income/(expense) (11)
Profit before tax 6,447
Barclays Non-Core FY 2017
Total income net of insurance claims (493)
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (45)
Net operating income (539)
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(435)
UK bank levy (42)
Litigation and conduct (22)
Total operating expenses (497)
Other net income/(expense) 114
Loss before tax (921)
Appendix

The following divisional numbers contribute to the FY 2017-2019 Core consensus.
GBPm

 

Barclays UK  FY 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 7,283 
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (815)
Net operating income 6,468
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(3,796)
UK bank levy (48)
Litigation and conduct (29)
Total operating expenses (3,868)
Profit before tax 2,600
Barclays International FY 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 15,143
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (1,463)
Net operating income 13,679
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(9,276)
UK bank levy (269)
Litigation and conduct (28)
Total operating expenses (9,554)
Profit before tax 4,165
Head Office FY 2017
Total income net of insurance claims (67)
Credit impairment charges and other provisions 0
Net operating income (67)
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(183)
UK bank levy (2)
Litigation and conduct (15)
Total operating expenses (200)
Loss before tax (318)

Note: Consensus figures in the table above are line by line averages based on forecasts received. They may not sum exactly as not all forecasts received contain an estimate for each account line (e.g. other net income). 

15 analyst forecasts are included in the consensus for full years 2017, 2018 and 2019.  2018 Core consensus excludes two analysts who have modelled Non-Core forecasts within the Core, and 2019 Core consensus excludes three analysts who have modelled Non-Core forecasts within the Core. 

The forecasts are produced by the contributing analysts and do not represent nor are based on Barclays’ opinions, estimates or forecasts. By presenting the consensus information above, Barclays does not endorse or concur with such analyst information, conclusions or recommendations. Barclays has not verified any of the information received and none of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, or accept any responsibility for, the accuracy or completeness of the consensus information. Barclays does not assume any responsibility to update, revise or supplement such information.

This consensus summary is being provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to, nor does it, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. None of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees shall accept any liability whatsoever for the consequences of any reliance upon or actions taken based on any of the information in this consensus summary.

Barclays PLC

GBPm unless otherwise stated.
Certain material items included in analysts' forecasts, notably significant litigation and conduct and UK customer redress, impairment of Barclays' holding in Barclays Africa Group Limited (BAGL) and loss on the sale of a portion of Barclays' holding in BAGL, are excluded from the consensus.

Barclays Group FY 2018
Total income net of insurance claims 22,585
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (2,675)
Net operating income 19,910
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(13,337)
UK bank levy (337)
Litigation and conduct (95)
Total operating expenses (13,708)
Other net income/(expense) 69
Profit before tax 6,271
Tax charge (1,851)
Profit after tax in respect of continuing operations 4,419
Non-controlling and other equity interests in respect of continuing operations (712)
Attributable profit in respect of continuing operations 3,720
Attributable profit in respect of discontinued operations 17
Total attributable profit 3,737
Group Basic earnings per share in respect of continuing operations (p) 21.7
Group Basic earnings per share (p) 21.8
Dividends per share (p) 6.8
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio (%) 13.5
Barclays Core FY 2018
Total income net of insurance claims 22,728
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (2,677)
Net operating income 20,052
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(13,126)
UK bank levy (300)
Litigation and conduct (70)
Total operating expenses (13,441)
Other net income/(expense) 97
Profit before tax 6,708
Barclays Non-Core FY 2018
Total income net of insurance claims (189)
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (29)
Net operating income (219)
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(207)
UK bank levy (33)
Litigation and conduct (12)
Total operating expenses (250)
Other net income/(expense) (23)
Loss before tax (492)
Appendix

The following divisional numbers contribute to the FY 2017 - 2019 Core consensus.
GBPm

 

Barclays UK FY 2018
Total income net of insurance claims 7,258
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (998)
Net operating income 6,261
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(3,723)
UK bank levy (47)
Litigation and conduct (20)
Total operating expenses (3,785)
Profit before tax 2,476
Barclays International FY 2018
Total income net of insurance claims 15,480
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (1,679)
Net operating income 13,801
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(9,236)
UK bank levy (250)
Litigation and conduct (13)
Total operating expenses (9,479)
Profit before tax 4,351
Head Office FY 2018
Total income net of insurance claims (10)
Credit impairment charges and other provisions 0
Net operating income (15)
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(167)
UK bank levy (3)
Litigation and conduct (7)
Total operating expenses (177)
Loss before tax (119)

Note: Consensus figures in the table above are line by line averages based on forecasts received. They may not sum exactly as not all forecasts received contain an estimate for each account line (e.g. other net income). 

15 analyst forecasts are included in the consensus for full years 2017, 2018 and 2019. 2018 Core consensus excludes two analysts who have modelled Non-Core forecasts within the Core, and 2019 Core consensus excludes three analysts who have modelled Non-Core forecasts within the Core. 

The forecasts are produced by the contributing analysts and do not represent nor are based on Barclays’ opinions, estimates or forecasts. By presenting the consensus information above, Barclays does not endorse or concur with such analyst information, conclusions or recommendations. Barclays has not verified any of the information received and none of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, or accept any responsibility for, the accuracy or completeness of the consensus information. Barclays does not assume any responsibility to update, revise or supplement such information.

This consensus summary is being provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to, nor does it, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. None of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees shall accept any liability whatsoever for the consequences of any reliance upon or actions taken based on any of the information in this consensus summary.

Barclays PLC

GBPm unless otherwise stated.
Certain material items included in analysts' forecasts, notably significant litigation and conduct and UK customer redress, impairment of Barclays' holding in Barclays Africa Group Limited (BAGL) and loss on the sale of a portion of Barclays' holding in BAGL, are excluded from the consensus.

Barclays Group FY 2019
Total income net of insurance claims 23,211
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (2,853)
Net operating income 20,359
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(13,357)
UK bank levy (310)
Litigation and conduct (73)
Total operating expenses (13,691)
Other net income/(expense) 91
Profit before tax 6,759
Tax charge (1,975)
Profit after tax in respect of continuing operations 4,783
Non-controlling and other equity interests in respect of continuing operations (697)
Attributable profit in respect of continuing operations 4,099
Attributable profit in respect of discontinued operations 6
Total attributable profit 4,104
Group Basic earnings per share in respect of continuing operations (p) 23.7
Group Basic earnings per share (p) 23.8
Dividends per share (p) 9.3
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio (%) 13.8
Barclays Core FY 2019
Total income net of insurance claims 23,197
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (2,896)
Net operating income 20,301
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(13,202)
UK bank levy (293)
Litigation and conduct (55)
Total operating expenses (13,503)
Other net income/(expense) 105
Profit before tax 6,902
Barclays Non-Core FY 2019
Total income net of insurance claims (101)
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (16)
Net operating income (118)
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(105)
UK bank levy (18)
Litigation and conduct (5)
Total operating expenses (137)
Other net income/(expense) 0
Loss before tax (256)
Appendix

The following divisional numbers contribute to the FY 2017 - 2019 Core consensus.
GBPm

 

Barclays UK FY 2019
Total income net of insurance claims 7,297
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (1,085)
Net operating income 6,212
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(3,700)
UK bank levy (46)
Litigation and conduct (18)
Total operating expenses (3,759)
Profit before tax 2,453
Barclays International  FY 2019
Total income net of insurance claims 15,903
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (1,811)
Net operating income 14,092
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(9,368)
UK bank levy (245)
Litigation and conduct (9)
Total operating expenses (9,600)
Profit before tax 4,521
Head Office  FY 2019
Total income net of insurance claims (4)
Credit impairment charges and other provisions 0
Net operating income (5)
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(134)
UK bank levy (2)
Litigation and conduct (8)
Total operating expenses (144)
Loss before tax (72)

Note: Consensus figures in the table above are line by line averages based on forecasts received. They may not sum exactly as not all forecasts received contain an estimate for each account line (e.g. other net income). 

15 analyst forecasts are included in the consensus for full years 2017, 2018 and 2019. 2018 Core consensus excludes two analysts who have modelled Non-Core forecasts within the Core, and 2019 Core consensus excludes three analysts who have modelled Non-Core forecasts within the Core.

The forecasts are produced by the contributing analysts and do not represent nor are based on Barclays’ opinions, estimates or forecasts. By presenting the consensus information above, Barclays does not endorse or concur with such analyst information, conclusions or recommendations. Barclays has not verified any of the information received and none of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, or accept any responsibility for, the accuracy or completeness of the consensus information. Barclays does not assume any responsibility to update, revise or supplement such information.

This consensus summary is being provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to, nor does it, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. None of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees shall accept any liability whatsoever for the consequences of any reliance upon or actions taken based on any of the information in this consensus summary.

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