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Published on 13 April 2017

Download consensus estimates for full years 2017 - 2019 and Q1 2017 (PDF 75KB)Download consensus estimates for full years 2017 - 2019 and Q1 2017

Barclays PLC

The following Q1 2017 estimates contribute to the FY 2017 Group, Core and Non-Core consensus.  GBPm unless otherwise stated.

Barclays Group Q1 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 5,607
Impairment charges (583)
Net operating income 5,024
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(3,535)
Litigation and conduct (36)
Total operating expenses (3,571)
Other net income/(expense) 9
Profit before tax 1,462
Tax charge (460)
Profit after tax in respect of continuing operations 1,002
Non-controlling and other equity interests in respect of continuing operations (197)
Attributable profit in respect of continuing operations 804
Attributable profit in respect of discontinued operations 79
Total Group attributable profit 883
Group Basic earnings per share in respect of continuing operations (p) 4.7
Group Basic earnings per share (p) 5.2
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio (%) 12.5
Barclays Core Q1 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 5,800
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (567)
Net operating income 5,233
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(3,366)
Litigation and conduct (19)
Total operating expenses (3,385)
Other net income/(expense) 10
Profit before tax 1,858
Barclays Non-Core Q1 2017
Total income net of insurance claims (193)
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (15)
Net operating income (209)
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(169)
Litigation and conduct (18)
Total operating expenses (186)
Other net income/(expense) (1)
Loss before tax (396)

 

Barclays UK  Q1 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 1,800
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (202)
Net operating income 1,598
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(940)
Litigation and conduct (8)
Total operating expenses (948)
Profit before tax 651
Barclays International  Q1 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 4,004
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (366)
Net operating income 3,638
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(2,356)
Litigation and conduct (10)
Total operating expenses (2,364)
Profit before tax 1,281
Head Office Q1 2017
Total income net of insurance claims (4)
Credit impairment charges and other provisions 0
Net operating income (6)
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(70)
Litigation and conduct (2)
Total operating expenses (73)
Loss before tax (74)

Note: Consensus figures in the table above are line by line averages based on forecasts received. They may not sum exactly as not all forecasts received contain an estimate for each account line (e.g. other net income). 

The above Q1 2017 estimates are based on the forecasts of 11 analysts.

The forecasts are produced by the contributing analysts and do not represent nor are based on Barclays’ opinions, estimates or forecasts. By presenting the consensus information above, Barclays does not endorse or concur with such analyst information, conclusions or recommendations. Barclays has not verified any of the information received and none of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, or accept any responsibility for, the accuracy or completeness of the consensus information. Barclays does not assume any responsibility to update, revise or supplement such information.

This consensus summary is being provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to, nor does it, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. None of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees shall accept any liability whatsoever for the consequences of any reliance upon or actions taken based on any of the information in this consensus summary.

Barclays PLC

GBPm, unless otherwise stated

Certain material items, notably significant litigation and conduct and UK customer redress included in analysts' forecasts, are excluded from the consensus.

Barclays Group FY 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 22,148
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (2,431)
Net operating income 19,717
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(13,571)
UK bank levy (359)
Litigation and conduct (110)
Total operating expenses (14,039)
Other net income/(expense) 14
Profit before tax 5,691
Tax charge (1,778)
Profit after tax in respect of continuing operations 3,913
Non-controlling and other equity interests in respect of continuing operations (736)
Attributable profit in respect of continuing operations 3,177
Attributable profit in respect of discontinued operations 277
Total attributable profit 3,454
Group Basic earnings per share in respect of continuing operations (p) 18.6
Group Basic earnings per share (p) 20.3
Dividends per share (p) 3.1
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio (%) 12.7
Barclays Core FY 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 22,617
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (2,378)
Net operating income 20,239
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(13,136)
UK bank levy (312)
Litigation and conduct (67)
Total operating expenses (13,514)
Other net income/(expense) 39
Profit before tax 6,763
Barclays Non-Core FY 2017
Total income net of insurance claims (469)
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (52)
Net operating income (521)
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(435)
UK bank levy (47)
Litigation and conduct (43)
Total operating expenses (525)
Other net income/(expense) (25)
Loss before tax (1,071)
Appendix

The following divisional numbers contribute to the FY 2017 Core consensus

GBPm

 

Barclays UK  FY 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 7,261 
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (858)
Net operating income 6,403
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(3,770)
UK bank levy (48)
Litigation and conduct (32)
Total operating expenses (3,848)
Profit before tax 2,555
Barclays International FY 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 15,346
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (1,521)
Net operating income 13,824
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(9,157)
UK bank levy (262)
Litigation and conduct (30)
Total operating expenses (9,447)
Profit before tax 4,408
Head Office FY 2017
Total income net of insurance claims 11
Credit impairment charges and other provisions 1
Net operating income 17
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(209)
UK bank levy (3)
Litigation and conduct (9)
Total operating expenses (220)
Loss before tax (201)

Note: Consensus figures in the table above are line by line averages based on forecasts received. They may not sum exactly as not all forecasts received contain an estimate for each account line (e.g. other net income). Attributable profit in respect of discontinued operations and associated line items in full years 2018 and 2019 reflect differing assumptions amongst analysts with regard to the timing of the deconsolidation of Barclays Africa Group Limited.

14 analyst forecasts are included in the consensus for full years 2017, 2018 and 2019.  2018 Core consensus excludes two analysts who have modelled Non-Core forecasts within the Core, and 2019 Core consensus excludes three analysts who have modelled Non-Core forecasts within the Core. 

The forecasts are produced by the contributing analysts and do not represent nor are based on Barclays’ opinions, estimates or forecasts. By presenting the consensus information above, Barclays does not endorse or concur with such analyst information, conclusions or recommendations. Barclays has not verified any of the information received and none of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, or accept any responsibility for, the accuracy or completeness of the consensus information. Barclays does not assume any responsibility to update, revise or supplement such information.

This consensus summary is being provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to, nor does it, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. None of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees shall accept any liability whatsoever for the consequences of any reliance upon or actions taken based on any of the information in this consensus summary.

Barclays PLC

GBPm, unless otherwise stated

Certain material items, notably significant litigation and conduct and UK customer redress included in analysts' forecasts, are excluded from the consensus.

Barclays Group FY 2018
Total income net of insurance claims 22,955
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (2,716)
Net operating income 20,238
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(13,341)
UK bank levy (330)
Litigation and conduct (72)
Total operating expenses (13,743)
Other net income/(expense) 39
Profit before tax 6,535
Tax charge (2,002)
Profit after tax in respect of continuing operations 4,533
Non-controlling and other equity interests in respect of continuing operations (672)
Attributable profit in respect of continuing operations 3,861
Attributable profit in respect of discontinued operations 45
Total attributable profit 3,906
Group Basic earnings per share in respect of continuing operations (p) 22.5
Group Basic earnings per share (p) 22.7
Dividends per share (p) 8.2
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio (%) 13.8
Barclays Core FY 2018
Total income net of insurance claims 23,100
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (2,689)
Net operating income 20,410
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(13,081)
UK bank levy (288)
Litigation and conduct (29)
Total operating expenses (13,398)
Other net income/(expense) 48
Profit before tax 7,060
Barclays Non-Core FY 2018
Total income net of insurance claims (210)
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (33)
Net operating income (243)
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(226)
UK bank levy (37)
Litigation and conduct (33)
Total operating expenses (296)
Other net income/(expense) (8)
Loss before tax (548)
Appendix

The following divisional numbers contribute to the FY 2018 Core consensus

GBPm

 

Barclays UK FY 2018
Total income net of insurance claims 7,272
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (1,021)
Net operating income 6,251
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(3,726)
UK bank levy (46)
Litigation and conduct (12)
Total operating expenses (3,782)
Profit before tax 2,469
Barclays International FY 2018
Total income net of insurance claims 15,821
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (1,670)
Net operating income 14,152
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(9,200)
UK bank levy (240)
Litigation and conduct (14)
Total operating expenses (9,452)
Profit before tax 4,732
Head Office FY 2018
Total income net of insurance claims 7
Credit impairment charges and other provisions 1
Net operating income 11
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(156)
UK bank levy (3)
Litigation and conduct (6)
Total operating expenses (164)
Loss before tax (141)

Note: Consensus figures in the table above are line by line averages based on forecasts received. They may not sum exactly as not all forecasts received contain an estimate for each account line (e.g. other net income). Attributable profit in respect of discontinued operations and associated line items in full years 2018 and 2019 reflect differing assumptions amongst analysts with regard to the timing of the deconsolidation of Barclays Africa Group Limited.

14 analyst forecasts are included in the consensus for full years 2017, 2018 and 2019. 2018 Core consensus excludes two analysts who have modelled Non-Core forecasts within the Core, and 2019 Core consensus excludes three analysts who have modelled Non-Core forecasts within the Core. 

The forecasts are produced by the contributing analysts and do not represent nor are based on Barclays’ opinions, estimates or forecasts. By presenting the consensus information above, Barclays does not endorse or concur with such analyst information, conclusions or recommendations. Barclays has not verified any of the information received and none of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, or accept any responsibility for, the accuracy or completeness of the consensus information. Barclays does not assume any responsibility to update, revise or supplement such information.

This consensus summary is being provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to, nor does it, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. None of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees shall accept any liability whatsoever for the consequences of any reliance upon or actions taken based on any of the information in this consensus summary.

Barclays PLC

GBPm, unless otherwise stated

Certain material items, notably significant litigation and conduct and UK customer redress included in analysts' forecasts, are excluded from the consensus.

Barclays Group FY 2019
Total income net of insurance claims 23,602
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (2,820)
Net operating income 20,781
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(13,413)
UK bank levy (302)
Litigation and conduct (44)
Total operating expenses (13,758)
Other net income/(expense) 40
Profit before tax 7,063
Tax charge (2,166)
Profit after tax in respect of continuing operations 4,897
Non-controlling and other equity interests in respect of continuing operations (677)
Attributable profit in respect of continuing operations 4,221
Attributable profit in respect of discontinued operations 37
Total attributable profit 4,257
Group Basic earnings per share in respect of continuing operations (p) 24.4
Group Basic earnings per share (p) 24.6
Dividends per share (p) 10.6
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio (%) 14.3
Barclays Core FY 2019
Total income net of insurance claims 23,586
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (2,804)
Net operating income 20,782
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(13,210)
UK bank levy (279)
Litigation and conduct (22)
Total operating expenses (13,511)
Other net income/(expense) 30
Profit before tax 7,302
Barclays Non-Core FY 2019
Total income net of insurance claims (113)
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (21)
Net operating income (135)
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(122)
UK bank levy (22)
Litigation and conduct (9)
Total operating expenses (167)
Other net income/(expense) 0
Loss before tax (302)
Appendix

The following divisional numbers contribute to the FY 2019 Core consensus

GBPm

 

Barclays UK FY 2019
Total income net of insurance claims 7,301
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (1,055)
Net operating income 6,246
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(3,722)
UK bank levy (45)
Litigation and conduct (8)
Total operating expenses (3,774)
Profit before tax 2,472
Barclays International  FY 2019
Total income net of insurance claims 16,269
Credit impairment charges and other provisions (1,749)
Net operating income 14,520
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(9,380)
UK bank levy (231)
Litigation and conduct (10)
Total operating expenses (9,620)
Profit before tax 4,931
Head Office  FY 2019
Total income net of insurance claims 17
Credit impairment charges and other provisions 1
Net operating income 22
Operating expenses (ex. UK bank levy and litigation and conduct)
(108)
UK bank levy (3)
Litigation and conduct (6)
Total operating expenses (117)
Loss before tax (101)

Note: Consensus figures in the table above are line by line averages based on forecasts received. They may not sum exactly as not all forecasts received contain an estimate for each account line (e.g. other net income). Attributable profit in respect of discontinued operations and associated line items in full years 2018 and 2019 reflect differing assumptions amongst analysts with regard to the timing of the deconsolidation of Barclays Africa Group Limited.

14 analyst forecasts are included in the consensus for full years 2017, 2018 and 2019. 2018 Core consensus excludes two analysts who have modelled Non-Core forecasts within the Core, and 2019 Core consensus excludes three analysts who have modelled Non-Core forecasts within the Core.

The forecasts are produced by the contributing analysts and do not represent nor are based on Barclays’ opinions, estimates or forecasts. By presenting the consensus information above, Barclays does not endorse or concur with such analyst information, conclusions or recommendations. Barclays has not verified any of the information received and none of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, or accept any responsibility for, the accuracy or completeness of the consensus information. Barclays does not assume any responsibility to update, revise or supplement such information.

This consensus summary is being provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to, nor does it, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. None of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees shall accept any liability whatsoever for the consequences of any reliance upon or actions taken based on any of the information in this consensus summary.

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