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Published on 22 April 2016

Download consensus for the periods of Q1 2016 and full years 2016 - 2018 (PDF 47KB)Download consensus for the periods of Q1 2016 and full years 2016 - 2018

Below is the consensus for Barclays for the period Q1 2016, which has been adjusted on a consistent basis for the treatment of Barclays Africa as a discontinued operation to ensure it is comparable with its presentation in Barclays' results announcements. Notable items are excluded from the consensus.

Barclays Group Q1 2016 Consensus
(ex. notable items)
(£m)
Total income net of insurance claims 4,978
Impairment charges (499)
Net operating income 4,479
Operating expenses excl UK Bank Levy
(3,639)
UK bank levy 0
Total operating expenses (3,639)
Profit before tax 846
Attributable profit 471
Group basic EPS (p) (excluding notable items) 2.8
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio (%) 11.3

Note: Consensus figures in the table above are line by line averages based on forecasts received. They may not sum exactly as not all forecasts received contain an estimate for each account line (e.g. other net income). Notable items are excluded from the consensus. ESHLA fair value movements are not presented as a notable item within Barclays' results announcements, and as such are not excluded from consensus.

9 analyst forecasts are included in the consensus for Q1 2016; Autonomous Research, Berenberg, Deutsche Bank, HSBC, J.P. Morgan Cazenove, Morgan Stanley, Natixis, RBC Capital Markets and UBS. 12 analyst forecasts are included in the consensus for full years 2016, 2017 and 2018; in addition to the aforementioned brokers, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Exane BNP Paribas and KBW (Keefe, Bruyette & Woods) analyst forecasts are included.

The forecasts are produced by the contributing analysts and do not represent nor are based on Barclays’ opinions, estimates or forecasts. By presenting the consensus information above, Barclays does not endorse or concur with such analyst information, conclusions or recommendations. Barclays has not verified any of the information received and none of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, or accept any responsibility for, the accuracy or completeness of the consensus information. Barclays does not assume any responsibility to update, revise or supplement such information. 

This consensus summary is being provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to, nor does it, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. None of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees shall accept any liability whatsoever for the consequences of any reliance upon or actions taken based on any of the information in this consensus summary. 

Below is the consensus for Barclays for the full year 2016, which has been adjusted on a consistent basis for the treatment of Barclays Africa as a discontinued operation to ensure it is comparable with its presentation in Barclays' results announcements. Notable items are excluded from the consensus.

Barclays Group FY 2016 Consensus
(ex. notable items)
(£m)
Total income net of insurance claims 19,805
Impairment charges (2,085)
Net operating income 17,720
Operating expenses excl UK Bank Levy
(14,144)
UK bank levy (403)
Total operating expenses (14,548)
Profit before tax 3,238
Attributable profit
1,726
Group basic EPS (p) (excluding notable items) 10.2
DPS (p) 3.0
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio (%) 11.6

Note: Consensus figures in the table above are line by line averages based on forecasts received. They may not sum exactly as not all forecasts received contain an estimate for each account line (e.g. other net income). Notable items are excluded from the consensus. ESHLA fair value movements are not presented as a notable item within Barclays' results announcements, and as such are not excluded from consensus.

9 analyst forecasts are included in the consensus for Q1 2016; Autonomous Research, Berenberg, Deutsche Bank, HSBC, J.P. Morgan Cazenove, Morgan Stanley, Natixis, RBC Capital Markets and UBS. 12 analyst forecasts are included in the consensus for full years 2016, 2017 and 2018; in addition to the aforementioned brokers, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Exane BNP Paribas and KBW (Keefe, Bruyette & Woods) analyst forecasts are included.

The forecasts are produced by the contributing analysts and do not represent nor are based on Barclays’ opinions, estimates or forecasts. By presenting the consensus information above, Barclays does not endorse or concur with such analyst information, conclusions or recommendations. Barclays has not verified any of the information received and none of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, or accept any responsibility for, the accuracy or completeness of the consensus information. Barclays does not assume any responsibility to update, revise or supplement such information. 

This consensus summary is being provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to, nor does it, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. None of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees shall accept any liability whatsoever for the consequences of any reliance upon or actions taken based on any of the information in this consensus summary. 

Below is the consensus for Barclays for the full year 2017, which has been adjusted on a consistent basis for the treatment of Barclays Africa as a discontinued operation to ensure it is comparable with its presentation in Barclays' results announcements. Notable items are excluded from the consensus.

Barclays Group FY 2017 Consensus
(ex. notable items)
(£m)
Total income net of insurance claims 21,055
Impairment charges (2,222)
Net operating income 18,832
Operating expenses excl UK Bank Levy
(12,729)
UK bank levy (368)
Total operating expenses (13,097)
Profit before tax 5,773

Note: Consensus figures in the table above are line by line averages based on forecasts received. They may not sum exactly as not all forecasts received contain an estimate for each account line (e.g. other net income). Notable items are excluded from the consensus. ESHLA fair value movements are not presented as a notable item within Barclays' results announcements, and as such are not excluded from consensus.

9 analyst forecasts are included in the consensus for Q1 2016; Autonomous Research, Berenberg, Deutsche Bank, HSBC, J.P. Morgan Cazenove, Morgan Stanley, Natixis, RBC Capital Markets and UBS. 12 analyst forecasts are included in the consensus for full years 2016, 2017 and 2018; in addition to the aforementioned brokers, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Exane BNP Paribas and KBW (Keefe, Bruyette & Woods) analyst forecasts are included.

The forecasts are produced by the contributing analysts and do not represent nor are based on Barclays’ opinions, estimates or forecasts. By presenting the consensus information above, Barclays does not endorse or concur with such analyst information, conclusions or recommendations. Barclays has not verified any of the information received and none of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, or accept any responsibility for, the accuracy or completeness of the consensus information. Barclays does not assume any responsibility to update, revise or supplement such information. 

This consensus summary is being provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to, nor does it, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. None of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees shall accept any liability whatsoever for the consequences of any reliance upon or actions taken based on any of the information in this consensus summary. 

Below is the consensus for Barclays for the full year 2018, which has been adjusted on a consistent basis for the treatment of Barclays Africa as a discontinued operation to ensure it is comparable with its presentation in Barclays' results announcements. Notable items are excluded from the consensus.

Barclays Group FY 2018 Consensus
(ex. notable items)
(£m)
Total income net of insurance claims 21,853
Impairment charges (2,370)
Net operating income 19,483
Operating expenses excl UK Bank Levy
(12,448)
UK bank levy (340)
Total operating expenses (12,788)
Profit before tax 6,734

Note: Consensus figures in the table above are line by line averages based on forecasts received. They may not sum exactly as not all forecasts received contain an estimate for each account line (e.g. other net income). Notable items are excluded from the consensus. ESHLA fair value movements are not presented as a notable item within Barclays' results announcements, and as such are not excluded from consensus.

9 analyst forecasts are included in the consensus for Q1 2016; Autonomous Research, Berenberg, Deutsche Bank, HSBC, J.P. Morgan Cazenove, Morgan Stanley, Natixis, RBC Capital Markets and UBS. 12 analyst forecasts are included in the consensus for full years 2016, 2017 and 2018; in addition to the aforementioned brokers, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Exane BNP Paribas and KBW (Keefe, Bruyette & Woods) analyst forecasts are included.

The forecasts are produced by the contributing analysts and do not represent nor are based on Barclays’ opinions, estimates or forecasts. By presenting the consensus information above, Barclays does not endorse or concur with such analyst information, conclusions or recommendations. Barclays has not verified any of the information received and none of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, or accept any responsibility for, the accuracy or completeness of the consensus information. Barclays does not assume any responsibility to update, revise or supplement such information. 

This consensus summary is being provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to, nor does it, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. None of Barclays, its affiliates or their respective directors, officers and employees shall accept any liability whatsoever for the consequences of any reliance upon or actions taken based on any of the information in this consensus summary. 

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